If states like California, Texas, New York, Florida, and the like have more electoral college votes in the presidential election, shouldnt those states hold the primaries?
Why Does The Most Important Presidential Primaries Take Place In Iowa And New Hampshire?
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The idea of the presidential primaries is to see who is first and foremost in the Democratic and Republican parties in terms of nomination from a public popular vote perspective. New Hampshire and Iowa are considered important not based on electoral college votes, but rather the large number of voters who list themselves as Independents. The idea being if there is similiar support in a state for political parties (say 36% Democrats and 34% Republicans ) then the remaining 30% are Independents (i.e. swing voters) and it is they that will determine the next US president. Its not an exact science but it is a popular American “gauger” for president.
Because they are the first and the liberal media takes their cue as to what kind of spin to put on certain candidates so the election will turn out like planned.
Those states you listed are very party-oriented (i.e.: California is highly Democratic already, where Texas is Republican). Iowa and New Hampshire are divided states and can even decide who is the president!
Those always seem to be the deciding states.
Its because if you can get off to a good start in those states, historically speaking, you will also do well in the other states. Its a momentum thing.
Merely because they are first—so the predictors love to jump on that.
It’s not always too accurate, though.
Not sure man. It’s too bad, though.
I believe the primaries who are first – show the direction of the nation
and some primaries are ‘historically’ correct in predicting who
the party nominee will be
all states hold primaries, by the way, it’s WHEN they want to as
their own state mandates – that’s how the delegates to the
national conventions know who to cast their vote!
Because they had early primaries long before it mattered whose primaries came first, and now that they have this advantage they won’t let anyone take it away from them. As a result you get primary campaigns biased towards white rural voters.
i never thought about it but will be intrested to hear the answers